Perun's video: The Economic War in Ukraine a Year On - The energy war politics production

Over the last year, the Ukraine war has played out both on the battlefields of Ukraine, and on global markets where energy warfare, sanctions, and industrial mobilisation efforts went head to head. Russia wanted to freeze Europe, while the Western allies sought to strangle the Russian economy with sanctions. A year on - I want to look at how successful these competing economic campaigns have been. Setting the stage to look at battlefield developments, attrition, and force regeneration in the near future. Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/PerunAU Caveats/Corrections: As always - unless very explicitly otherwise stated everything said should be considered to have a 'reportedly' or 'seemingly' tag attached. I also note that my comments on survey, financial, and other data are intended to be illustrative, not exhaustive. Sources/Reading: LNG around the world: https://www.dw.com/en/lng-european-thirst-for-natural-gas-puts-bangladesh-and-pakistan-in-the-dark/a-63401354 IPSOS polling: https://www.ipsos.com/en/war-in-ukraine-january-2023 Europe gas prices hit low: https://edition.cnn.com/2023/02/17/energy/europe-gas-price-18-month-low/index.html EU Gas storage: https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/infographics/gas-storage-capacity/ LNG Terminal 3 in Germany https://www.dw.com/en/third-floating-lng-terminal-arrives-in-northern-germany/a-64462246 Seymour Hersh's article on Nord Stream https://seymourhersh.substack.com/p/how-america-took-out-the-nord-stream Hersh on Russia Today: https://www.rt.com/russia/571690-hersh-ukraine-nato-corruption/ Russia switching oil tax calculations: https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/russia-may-switch-brent-based-oil-taxes-kommersant-2023-02-03/ Russia planning one-off contributions: https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/russia-eyeing-one-off-budget-contribution-around-3-bln-business-three-sources-2023-02-08/ Russia plan for foreign owned assets https://www.reuters.com/business/russia-outlines-plan-unfriendly-investors-sell-up-half-price-2022-12-30/ Sonnenfeld on Russian economy estimates: https://fortune.com/2023/03/06/imf-naively-parroted-putin-fake-statisticsand-botched-economic-forecast-russia-ukraine/ Russia produced economic figures : https://www.cbr.ru/Collection/Collection/File/43430/forecast_221028.pdf https://www.economy.gov.ru/material/file/ea2fd3ce38f2e28d51c312acf2be0917/prognoz_socialno_ekonom_razvitiya_rf_2023-2025.pdf https://www.cbr.ru/statistics/ddkp/mo_br/ Carnegie Endowment on Deficit: https://carnegieendowment.org/politika/89009 Jamestown Foundation on RU DIB https://jamestown.org/program/russias-defense-industry-growing-increasingly-turbulent/ Borisov on labour shortages: https://vpk.name/news/613140_borisov_deficit_kadrov_na_predpriyatiyah_opk_v_rf_budet_sostavlyat_okolo_400_tys_chelovek.html Shadow fleet: https://edition.cnn.com/2023/03/01/business/russia-oil-shadow-fleet/index.html Oil Sanctions: https://www.cnbc.com/2023/02/16/sanctions-on-russian-oil-are-having-the-intended-effect-iea-says.html https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2023/01/02/russian-gas-exports-outside-ex-soviet-states-fell-455-in-2022-a79863 https://www.barrons.com/articles/vietnam-markets-economy-e5c19acf Defence Production: https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2023/03/08/eu-defence-ministers-discuss-joint-procurement-for-ammunition-to-replenish-depleted-stocks https://www.businessinsider.com/german-arms-giant-build-a-tank-factory-in-ukraine-rheinmetall-2023-3 https://euromaidanpress.com/2023/01/10/ukraine-finally-launches-domestic-ammunition-production-how-will-this-impact-the-war/ https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/ukraine-is-using-guided-rockets-with-more-range-than-himars-launched-ones https://dtek.com/en/media-center/news/52-transformatori-dlya-ukraini---gumanitarna-dopomoga-vid-grupi-dtek-ta-hitachi-ener/ Timestamps: 00:00:00 — Opening Words 00:02:18 — WHAT AM I TALKING ABOUT? 00:02:49 — FREEZING EUROPE 00:03:48 — The Euro Response 00:05:59 — Climate & Culmination 00:07:20 — Cost To The Eurozone 00:09:46 — EU: Are Citizens’ Lives Heading The Right Direction? (graph) 00:11:21 — The External Costs 00:13:17 — Evaluation 00:14:02 — Side Note On Nord Stream Claims 00:17:45 — BREAKING UP UA's SUPPORT 00:20:37 — Support levels 00:21:43 — US Public Opinion 00:24:10 — More Global Opinion? 00:27:23 — Evaluation 00:27:51 — THE ECONOMIC WAR (ON RUSSIA) 00:29:02 — Energy Markets & Exports 00:34:10 — Follow On Sanctions And Induced Competition 00:35:43 — The Dispute Over Stats 00:37:23 — The Picture From Russia 00:39:01 — The Russian Budget 00:43:26 — Evaluation 00:44:26 — THE STRATEGIC BOMBING CAMPAIGN 00:46:57 — Economic Impacts 00:48:46 — The GBAD Problem 00:50:57 — THE PRODUCTION RACE - UKRAINE 00:53:25 — Strategic Imperative 00:56:28 — THRE PRODUCTION RACE - THE WEST 01:03:23 — THE PRODUCTION RACE - RUSSIA 01:06:25 — Defence Spending Is Surprisingly Low 01:08:17 — The Impact Of Sanctions & Inflation 01:14:52 — CONCLUSIONS 01:15:43 — CHANNEL UPDATE