자막대왕's video: 2020 - 103020

2020년 10월 30 금요일 뉴스 한글 자막 PBS NewsHour Shields and Brooks on 2020 election predictions Syndicated columnist Mark Shields and New York Times columnist David Brooks join Judy Woodruff to discuss the week in politics, including the closing campaign strategies of President Trump and Joe Biden, the potential influence of the Supreme Court with the addition of Justice Amy Coney Barrett and predictions for election results. JW: And now, for their final Friday analysis before the polls close, it's time for Shields and Brooks. That is syndicated columnist Mark Shields, and New York Times columnist David Brooks. Hello to both of you, only a few days to go. Let's talk about it. What does this race look like to each one of you? David, you first. DB: Well, the polls are seeing — if 2016 hadn't happened, we'd think, oh, this is going to be a very clear Biden win. But 2016 didn't — did happen, so we don't know. I think what strikes me most about the electorate right now is just how fraught they are. Seventy percent of Americans say that there will be permanent damage to this country if the wrong candidate wins, if the other candidate wins. Eighty percent of Democrats say that, if Trump wins, he will take us gradually toward dictatorship. Ninety percent of Republicans say, if Biden wins, he will take us gradually towards socialism. So, there's a great sense in the country on all sides that, if my side loses this election, the country is in mortal peril. And so that's what makes this such an intense election. The piece of good news to me is that, if you ask people, what's the single biggest problem facing this country, 90 percent say polarization and division. So, they want to heal it, even though they know it's divided. And the reason Biden is winning, in my view, is because he's made his whole campaign about that. JW: Mark, what does it look like to you? MS: It looks, Judy, like an important election. Nobody has ever said, this is the sixth most important election of our lifetime, but I think this is a critically important election, because just think if Franklin Roosevelt had not been reelected in 1936, the whole definition of the presidency, the leader as this optimistic, rallying figure, inspiring figure, would never have come really to being into American life. Roosevelt became the standard. If Donald Trump is reelected in 2020, it will redefine the presidency and what Americans expect of the president and of each other. I don't think he will be. I think Joe Biden will be elected next Tuesday, and for a whole host of reasons, that America, and especially at a time of this coronavirus, are — we are looking for a we president, and Donald Trump has been a me president. He's been quite incapable of addressing that, stepping up to it. He's been on the river denial as far as the crisis itself is concerned, telling us, sort of in Pollyannish tones, that it's going to be better, or it's already better. We just don't see that it's better. And I really think that Americans are looking for a different kind of leadership, decidedly different leadership. And I think Joe Biden represents that to them, and to a majority of them. JW: And, David, what are you — what are you basing your hunch that this is or your belief that this is — that Joe Biden is going to win? David Brooks: It's between a hunch and a belief. It's somewhere in the middle there. I'm dumb. I look at the polls, and I look at the obvious stats. I mean, he's up about eight or nine nationally. He's up in almost every state. For Trump to win, he has to win every state where it's within the margin of error. That's just a remarkable accomplishment. It would be nearly — it's a tough accomplishment. He probably has a 10 percent chance at it. Approval rating is the obvious thing you look for in a presidential reelection race. And Donald Trump has a 42, 43 percent approval rating. Joe Biden has a 52 percent. So this is not rocket science here. He's got to lead. And I think he has picked — as Mark said, it would have been so easy for him to reflect the anger of the country back upon itself and run an angry, divisive campaign. I have never seen a campaign that has so studiously avoided wedge issues. He's run a unity campaign, unity campaign, unity campaign. And I think that's where the American people are right now. (중략 omission)